Odd poll from Nik Nanos. Odd, as in surprising. This survey, taken Sept. 2 –
…shows, with election speculation on the rise, a noticeable increase in support for the Harper Conservatives while Liberal support has remained relatively stable.
The Conservatives have picked up support in Quebec and Atlantic Canada while the New Democrats have lost support in those regions.
That’s the surprising part to us. With the NDP win in NS we thought the NDP figures would be higher in this area.
Also of note, the level of undecided is above average in this wave of Nanos tracking. This is likely a natural result of the country entering a pre-election phase as an increasing number of Canadians park with the undecided before they render judgment on the parties and the party leaders.
That we can understand. The turnout for the last provincial election was low. There wasn’t much choice and this translated into a “why vote” mood. Perhaps that the way prospective voters feel now.
Here is the question and the numbers but look at the whole poll results at the Nanos site.
Ballot Question: For those parties you would consider voting for federally, could you please rank your top two current local preferences? (Committed voters only – First Preference)
The numbers in parenthesis denote the change from the last Nanos Omnibus Survey completed between July 30th and August 2nd, 2009.
Conservative 37.5% (+6.2)
Liberal 33.4% (-0.4)
NDP 14.8% (-3.9)
BQ 9.7% (+0.5)
Green 4.6% (-2.4)
Undecided 24.6% (+8.9)