Alberta – champions of ice

Alberta rocks. Undefeated. Best in the world.

And speaking of Alberta and ice:

So far this month, at least 14 major weather stations in Alberta have recorded their lowest-ever March temperatures. I’m not talking about daily records; I mean they’ve recorded the lowest temperatures they’ve ever seen in the entire month of March since temperatures began being recorded in Alberta in the 1880s.

This past Tuesday, Edmonton International Airport reported an overnight low of -41.5 C, smashing the previous March low of -29.4 C set in 1975. Records just don’t fall by that much, but the airport’s did. Records are usually broken fractions of degrees. The International’s was exceeded by 12 degrees.

To give you an example of how huge is the difference between the old record and the new, if Edmonton were to exceed its highest-ever summer temperature by the same amount, the high here some July day would have to reach 50 C. That’s a Saudi Arabia-like temperature. …

For at least the past five or six years, global temperatures have been falling. Look at the black trend line on the chart at http://www.drroyspencer.com/latest-global-temperatures/ put out by the man who runs NASA’s worldwide network of weather satellites.

Also, in the past few months, two studies — one by the Leibniz Institute of Marine Science and the Max Planck Institute of Meteorology in Germany and another by the University of Wisconsin — have shown a slowing, or even a reversal of warming for at least the next 10 to 20, and perhaps longer.

What have we been telling you? Will you believe us now?

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6 responses to “Alberta – champions of ice

  1. Repeat after me: Climate is not weather; weather is not climate.

    BTW You are cherry picking your data. The atricle from the Max Planck Institute goes on to say:
    “Just to make things clear: we are not stating that anthropogenic climate change won’t be as bad as previously thought”, explains Prof. Mojib Latif from IFM-GEOMAR. “What we are saying is that on top of the warming trend there is a long-periodic oscillation that will probably lead to a to a lower temperature increase than we would expect from the current trend during the next years”, adds Latif. “That is like driving from the coast to a mountainous area and crossing some hills and valleys before you reach the top”, explains Dr. Johann Jungclaus from the MPI for Meteorology. “In some years trends of both phenomena, the anthropogenic climate change and the natural decadal variation will add leading to a much stronger temperature rise.”add leading to a much stronger temperature rise.”

  2. Repeat after us
    Climate is not weather, weather is not climate.

    Be honest, had it been the other way round – record highs- you bet we would have heard about it as proof of global warming. Talk about cherry picking!!!

    The models did not predict the current cooling. There has been lots of speculation about what is causing the present pattern – changes in solar activity, changes in ocean circulation, etc. But whatever it is, it is not adequately factored into any GCMs.

    Just a question – did you listen to any of the presentations at the Heartland link?

    Bonus reading

    And they have plenty of work to do. So far modellers have failed to narrow the total bands of uncertainties since the first report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) in 1990.

    Dr Vicky Pope, Met Office Head of Climate Change, calls on scientists and the media to ‘rein in’ some of their assertions about climate change.

  3. There is a lot of parameterization that goes into a global circulation model… As far as I can see, the empirical evidence is perhaps 0.5-1 degree C of warming by humans — roughly what the most simple-minded 1D radiation balance would give, but we can’t be sure.

    I’ve published a bit about computational fluid mechanics. Enough to know that I don’t know anything about predicting climate. I don’t see that anyone else does, either — but I could be wrong.

    There is, however, plenty of empirical evidence that long-term over-population has caused serious environmental degradation of some of the more fragile habitats on planet earth (think of the formerly fertile crescent, among many obvious examples). Those with a narrow carbon focus are more of a problem than a solution, in my less than humble opinion.

    Humans are, fundamentally, a tropical species… Which brings me to a very pressing problem that confronts Canadians every winter — getting through our ice-bound airports for a warm holiday down south.

  4. We are with you. People think that because we are skeptical about Global warming (in particular CO2 and man made emissions as significantly causal) that we don’t care about the environment. Nothing could be further from the truth. And as you – and many others- have pointed out, this emphasis on CO2 and carbon control has pushed to the back burner other problems such as deforestation, population land stress, and water pollution. We would rather see millions spent on a waste water management system for Halifax Harbour than on programs to reduce CO2 emissions.

  5. When the weather outside is cooler, and the problem of global “warming” arises, it is tempting to think that the “warming” is not all that warm. 🙂

    However, the term global warming is unfortunate as it refers to climatic change and it’s the fluctuations that we need be concerned about.

    At any rate, here’s some more data to look at:
    http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/science/nature/7329799.stm

  6. Thanks for the link Frank. [You did notice this article was from April 2008 didn’t you? But reading what the WMO has to say is always fun.]

    Since we are trading links here are two for you. The first re the WMO
    http://tinyurl.com/5rsro8

    the second- let’s look at the data. Garbage in, garbage out

    http://tinyurl.com/d32cm6